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Crunching Numbers

Buffalo Sabres Quarter-Mark Statistical Projections

With the Buffalo Sabres hitting the quarter-season mark after the thrilling win away to the Islanders on Saturday night, we make our projections for how the players could end up,<strong> theoretically</strong>.

Some things are very real so far this season. The Buffalo Sabres are not very good. Thomas Vanek is insane. Ryan Miller started slow but is headed in that direction. The Sabres as a whole have defended poorly. Here's the Sabres' stats so far. (Note: this post does not include last night's game against Boston.)

# Pos Player GP G A P +/- PIM PP SH GW S S%
26 L Thomas Vanek 11 11 12 23 6 12 4 1 0 45 24.4
29 R Jason Pominville 12 6 8 14 1 2 1 0 1 36 16.7
19 C Cody Hodgson 12 5 7 12 -2 8 0 0 1 33 15.2
63 C Tyler Ennis 12 4 5 9 0 2 0 0 0 33 12.1
82 L Marcus Foligno 12 1 6 7 -4 15 0 0 0 19 5.3
9 C Steve Ott 12 2 4 6 3 22 1 0 0 18 11.1
10 D Christian Ehrhoff 11 1 5 6 5 8 0 0 0 23 4.3
3 D Jordan Leopold 12 1 3 4 -5 10 0 0 0 18 5.6
52 D Alexander Sulzer 11 3 1 4 4 6 0 0 1 8 37.5
21 R Drew Stafford 12 0 4 4 -7 9 0 0 0 33 0
55 C Jochen Hecht 12 0 3 3 -1 6 0 0 0 17 0
44 D Andrej Sekera 9 1 2 3 -1 2 0 0 0 9 11.1
25 C Mikhail Grigorenko 12 1 2 3 -2 0 0 0 0 12 8.3
6 D Mike Weber 7 0 2 2 0 17 0 0 0 3 0
24 D Robyn Regehr 5 0 1 1 0 4 0 0 0 4 0
27 D Adam Pardy 1 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 0 2 0
57 D Tyler Myers 11 1 0 1 -9 12 1 0 1 10 10
8 C Cody McCormick 4 0 0 0 -2 5 0 0 0 0 0
37 L Matt Ellis 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0
36 R Patrick Kaleta 7 0 0 0 1 18 0 0 0 5 0
42 L Nathan Gerbe 8 0 0 0 -3 0 0 0 0 5 0
32 L John Scott 12 0 0 0 -1 19 0 0 0 3 0
33 D TJ Brennan 5 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 8 0

Here's what the raw predictions say, what do you guys think?

# Pos Player GP G A P +/- PIM PP SH GW S S%
26 L Thomas Vanek 44 44 48 92 24 48 16 4 0 180 24.4
29 R Jason Pominville 48 24 32 56 4 8 4 0 4 144 16.7
19 C Cody Hodgson 48 20 28 48 -8 32 0 0 4 132 15.2
63 C Tyler Ennis 48 16 20 36 0 8 0 0 0 132 12.1
82 L Marcus Foligno 48 4 24 28 -16 60 0 0 0 76 5.3
9 C Steve Ott 48 8 16 24 12 88 4 0 0 72 11.1
10 D Christian Ehrhoff 44 4 20 24 20 32 0 0 0 92 4.3
3 D Jordan Leopold 48 4 12 16 -20 40 0 0 0 72 5.6
52 D Alexander Sulzer 44 12 4 16 16 24 0 0 4 32 37.5
21 R Drew Stafford 48 0 16 16 -28 36 0 0 0 132 0
55 C Jochen Hecht 48 0 12 12 -4 24 0 0 0 68 0
44 D Andrej Sekera 36 4 8 12 -4 8 0 0 0 36 11.1
25 C Mikhail Grigorenko 48 4 8 12 -8 0 0 0 0 48 8.3
6 D Mike Weber 28 0 8 8 0 68 0 0 0 12 0
24 D Robyn Regehr 20 0 4 4 0 16 0 0 0 16 0
27 D Adam Pardy 4 0 4 4 0 8 0 0 0 8 0
57 D Tyler Myers 44 4 0 4 -36 48 4 0 4 40 10
8 C Cody McCormick 16 0 0 0 -8 20 0 0 0 0 0
37 L Matt Ellis 24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 32 0
36 R Patrick Kaleta 28 0 0 0 4 72 0 0 0 20 0
42 L Nathan Gerbe 32 0 0 0 -12 0 0 0 0 20 0
32 L John Scott 48 0 0 0 -4 76 0 0 0 12 0
33 D TJ Brennan 20 0 0 0 0 16 0 0 0 32 0

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