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Daily Fantasy Tuesday: Value by Position

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Guide for drafting your best daily fantasy lineup

Toronto Maple Leafs v Buffalo Sabres

Now that we’ve been served a taste of the 2019-2020 NHL season, it seems like a good time to start taking a look at the daily fantasy hockey platform. This evening, while the Sabres host the San Jose Sharks, there will also be nine other games played around the league. With players from 20 teams to choose from, it can be tough to narrow down where the best value lies. So, I’ll start with a few tips to drafting your lineup, followed by my player value rankings per position.

Tip 1 - Matchup is key, but not everything

It is imperative to look for good matchups in identifying good daily fantasy picks, but don’t get too caught up in the coloful matchup number rankings on your daily fantasy hockey app. What actually is more important is the percentage of a team’s primary points that a player accumulates for his team. Expected goals and primary points are the best predictors of future goals and assists, so keep in mind that someone like Jack Eichel, who controls most of the shot share for the Sabres, holds much more value than a more dependant player like Patrik Laine. Choosing a player like Eichel in a prime matchup is all the better.

Tip 2 - Quantity over quality

While a high shooting percentage is valuable for a team looking to capitalize on its scoring opportunities, daily fantasy hockey is a game that rewards high volume over efficiency. DraftKings now awards a bonus for five shots on goal or more, bringing added value to a guy such as Evander Kane, who is consistently near the top of the league in shots per game. Same goes for noted shot blockers, as a bonus is handed out for three or more blocked shots by a player. Keep this in mind if you need to identify a defenseman on a cheap salary (i.e. Jon Merrill, Travis Hamonic, etc.).

Tip 3 - Pick winning goaltending

Seems pretty obvious, right? Your daily fantasy lineup can live or die by your goaltending choice. On a day-to-day basis, it is harder to identify skaters’ individual performances than a team’s performance as a whole, so make sure you choose the goaltender that is most likely to win and collect the extra points associated with winning. When you are able to find value in lower salaried players, as my list below will help you with, then it is completely worth it to pony up for the goaltender with the best matchup.

Without further adu, here are today’s value rankings by position:

(These rankings are based off of DraftKings’ scoring and salaries for 10/22/19.)
Buffalo Sabres players in bold
San Jose Sharks players in italics

Centers

  1. Patrice Bergeron - 7000
  2. Auston Matthews - 7500
  3. Jack Eichel - 7200
  4. Sean Monahan - 6800
  5. Jonathan Toews - 4900
  6. Sidney Crosby - 7700
  7. Eric Staal - 4000
  8. Logan Couture - 5700
  9. Connor McDavid - 8200
  10. Aleksander Barkov - 5500
  11. William Karlsson - 5900
  12. Evgeny Kuznetsov - 5500
  13. Carl Soderberg - 3800
  14. Jared McCann - 4700
  15. Dylan Larkin - 6000

Top 5 under 3k - Jason Spezza, Teddy Blueger, Riley Sheahan, Frans Nielsen, Adam Lowry

Wingers

  1. Andreas Johnsson - 4700
  2. Dominik Kubalik - 4000
  3. Zach Parise - 4200
  4. Jake DeBrusk - 4200
  5. Viktor Arvidsson - 5500
  6. Jonathan Huberdeau - 5900
  7. Brad Marchand - 7100
  8. Victor Olofsson - 5300
  9. David Pastrnak - 8000
  10. Patric Hornqvist - 5700
  11. Rickard Rakell - 5800
  12. Jeff Skinner - 6300
  13. Elias Lindholm - 5100
  14. Timo Meier - 5300
  15. Brandon Pirri - 3600

Top 5 under 3k - Dominik Kahun, Nick Ritchie, Jimmy Vesey, Ryan Hartman, Jack Roslovic

Defensemen

  1. Mark Giordano - 6100
  2. Roman Josi - 6000
  3. Matt Dumba - 4700
  4. Kris Letang - 6500
  5. Morgan Rielly - 6000
  6. Rasmus Ristolainen - 4600
  7. Shea Theodore - 5000
  8. Brent Burns - 6900
  9. Alex Edler - 6200
  10. John Carlson - 7100
  11. Colin Miller - 3100
  12. Marcus Pettersson - 3500
  13. Torey Krug - 5600
  14. Tyler Myers - 3900
  15. Justin Schultz - 4800

Top 5 under 3k - Jon Merrill, Olli Maatta, Jake Bischoff, Jonas Siegenthaler, Ben Hutton

Goaltenders

  1. Matt Murray - 7700
  2. Carter Hutton - 7800
  3. Marc-Andre Fleury - 8000
  4. Darcy Kuemper - 7200
  5. Jacob Markstrom - 7300
  6. Pekka Rinne - 8400
  7. Tuukka Rask - 7900
  8. Connor Hellebuyck - 8300
  9. David Rittich - 8100
  10. John Gibson - 7000
  11. Robin Lehner - 7500
  12. Mike Smith - 7900
  13. Frederick Anderson - 7400
  14. Braden Holtby - 7600
  15. Jimmy Howard - 7900
**These goaltenders are unconfirmed as starters. Remember to confirm your goaltender is starting prior to puck-drop.**