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Sabres Goal Scoring Breakdown: Who Scores The Big Goals?

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I figured that a Saturday would be a good time to replace the morning links with some statistical analysis.  I will try to do this every week when it's possible.  During the season we may see a change in how the site is run but for summer we need to keep it interesting.

Last season I did some statistical analysis but it wasn't nearly enough.  I have wanted to really breakdown statistics that we don't normally get to see.  We all know that Thomas Vanek led the Sabres with 40 goals last season but who scored the first goal of the game most often? 

It's always important to score goals but as a fan I want to know who scores the important goals.  The important goals are the goals that are scored when the game is close.  Who scores the goals when the team is ahead by a goal or better yet when they are behind by a goal.

This study may be even more accurate if I had broke it down by period and maybe I'll do that in the future.  This chart describes the goals scored in certain situations without taking into account the time of the game.

 

Goals Sabres 1st Trailing -1 Tied Leading - 1 Winning/Tying Goal PP SH
Thomas Vanek 40 8 7 13 7 4 20 2
Derek Roy 28 8 4 11 4 3 9 1
Jason Pominville 20 7 4 6 2 3 6 1
Drew Stafford 20 10 7 4 2 2 9 0
Tim Connolly 18 7 2 7 4 0 5 1
Clarke MacArthur 17 4 4 3 2 2 5 0
Paul Gaustad 12 3 1 2 3 1 3 1
Jochen Hecht 12 4 1 4 1 0 3 1
Daniel Paille 12 5 2 4 2 0 0 0
Jaro Spacek 8 4 2 3 1 0 4 0
Adam Mair 8 5 0 3 2 0 0 0
Matt Ellis 7 2 0 2 2 0 0 0
Maxim Afinogenov 6 1 1 2 2 0 0 0
Toni Lydman 3 2 0 2 0 0 0 0
Andrej Sekera 3 0 0 2 1 0 1 0
Craig Rivet 2 1 1 0 1 0 1 0
Teppo Numminen 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0
Henrik Tallinder 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
Mark Mancari 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0

 

Now that the stats are posted what does it all mean?  Drew Stafford had a career high 20 goals this season and he scored some pretty important goals.  He scored the Sabres first goal a team high 10 times this season.  He also tied with Thomas Vanek by scoring seven goals while the team was trailing by one.  A one goal lead is difficult to overcome but a two goal lead is almost insurmountable.  It's always big to keep the game close.

Thomas Vanek is obviously the Sabres best goal scorer and he is also the best clutch player on the team.  He not only tied with Stafford with seven tying goals but 13 times he scored to break a tie and give the Sabres a one goal lead. 

The more surprising stat is the 11 go-ahead goals scored by Derek Roy.  Derek Roy is often criticized for not being a clutch player but the above numbers don't back up that theory.  In the next week or so I should go through and see how the Sabres compare to players on other teams with similar overall statistics.

What are your thoughts on the above statistics?  Were you surprised at some of the numbers?  Do any of these numbers even matter?  I would love to hear your thoughts and ideas for possible statistical breakdown.