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Crunching Numbers: Sabres Breakout Offensively Versus Red Wings

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A lot of good things happened for the Buffalo Sabres in their 6-2 victory over the Detroit Red Wings.  The Sabres exploded for four goals in the second period and scored a total of five even strength goals in the game.  The production came from throughout the lineup as well, with Vanek getting two, MacArthur scoring one, Kaleta scoring one and Gaustad scoring the final goal.

The game was pleasing on the scoreboard and for some players it looks good when you look a little bit closer at the stats.  The lines were adjusted on the fly because of the loss of Thomas Vanek in the second period but overall it was easy to see trends.  It was nice to see the Connolly line with MacArthur and Pominville finally break through and start creating some chances.

    Game Stats Even Strength Individual Stats Even Strength On-Ice Totals
# Player Pos TOI +/- FO% Hits BS EV TOI G A Shots S A/B S Miss SOGF SOGA SOG Diff Tot SF Tot SA Corsi
4 Steve Montador D 17:28 0 - 0 2 17:01 0 0 4 0 2 8 6 2 12 12 0
5 Toni Lydman D 16:49 0 - 2 0 14:28 0 0 0 0 1 7 3 4 10 8 2
9 Derek Roy C 17:34 3 70% 0 0 12:56 0 3 3 0 0 8 4 4 13 9 4
10 Henrik Tallinder D 20:33 5 - 1 1 19:12 0 0 1 0 1 14 6 8 17 14 3
13 Tim Kennedy C 14:41 -1 56% 2 0 14:41 0 0 3 0 0 8 8 0 11 13 -2
19 Tim Connolly C 18:30 0 45% 0 0 14:21 0 0 1 0 2 7 3 4 11 4 7
21 Drew Stafford RW 14:00 2 - 0 1 10:31 0 0 0 1 0 7 4 3 11 8 3
25 Mike Grier RW 15:19 -1 - 3 0 14:44 0 0 2 0 0 8 8 0 10 13 -3
26 Thomas Vanek LW 7:54 2 - 1 0 7:54 2 0 3 1 1 5 4 1 7 5 2
28 Paul Gaustad C 13:55 2 71% 1 2 8:56 1 0 3 0 0 9 3 6 10 7 3
29 Jason Pominville RW 17:59 1 100% 0 0 13:54 0 1 3 1 0 8 3 5 12 5 7
34 Chris Butler D 22:38 -1 - 0 0 16:28 0 0 3 0 0 11 10 1 16 12 4
36 Patrick Kaleta RW 10:05 2 - 4 0 9:31 1 1 1 0 0 10 3 7 11 7 4
37 Matt Ellis C 10:47 2 - 0 0 10:47 0 1 2 0 0 10 5 5 11 11 0
41 Clarke MacArthur LW 17:56 1 67% 1 0 15:41 1 0 2 0 0 9 3 6 15 5 10
52 Craig Rivet D 20:24 1 - 1 0 15:39 0 0 0 0 0 14 6 8 17 8 9
55 Jochen Hecht LW 16:11 -1 60% 0 0 15:02 0 0 1 0 1 9 6 3 12 12 0
57 Tyler Myers D 22:08 3 - 1 0 17:28 0 1 1 1 0 11 7 4 15 14 1
TOI = Total Time on Ice FO% = Faceoff percentage SOG Diff = Shot difference
EV TOI = Even Strength time on ice BS = Blocked Shots Tot SF = Total shot attempts on ice
S A/B = shots attempted and blocked SOGF = Shots for while on ice Tot SA = Total shot attempt ag. While on ice
S Miss = Shots missed the net SOGA = Shots against while on ice Tot Diff = difference in total shots

 

The line of Kennedy, Grier and Hecht had their worst game of the season based on Corsi numbers but they played against Datsyuk quite a bit last night.  The numbers are not perfect but the Corsi rating does give you a gauge of how players are playing. 

Many people feel this stat is more accurate a gauge of performance than the plus/minus stat is.  For example...Matt Ellis and Paul Gaustad get a plus one because they were on the ice for the Kaleta goal although they were irrelevant to the play.  Kaleta obviously had a good game and Gaustad was pretty good as well but Ellis had a zero Corsi rating on the game.  It doesn't mean that Ellis had a terrible game but it does mean that his plus-2 rating might be misleading.

Henrik Tallinder is another player I want to look at.  I don't want to discount how well he has been playing lately because he is starting to remind me of the old Hank but the numbers show that he wasn't as dominant as his plus-5 rating makes us think.  The Wings fired 14 shots in the direction of Ryan Miller while he was on the ice which means that the combination of inaccurate shots and good goaltending by Ryan Miller helped Hank earn his plus-5.