Simple Projections (Pt. 3 of 5)

The Buffalo Sabres are showing some signs of revival in their last few games, picking up seven of the eight points available. The offense remains moribund and it looks like only a trade or two will resuscitate the Sabres scoring fortunes. What has been a positive is that the defense has been playing better, and Ryan Miller has played much better too in the lead up to taking the mantle as Buffalo's winning-est goalie with 235, passing six-time Vezina winner and legendary Sabre Dominik Hasek.

With 52 games gone (just past the 3/5th mark), here's how the projections stand for the end of the season. For reference, here are how the projections looked after the 1/5th and 2/5th points.

This last segment had been quite horrible for the Sabres, especially since it encompassed the 12-game road losing streak.

Player

Goals

Assists

Points

+/-

PIM

Shots

Jason Pominville

27

49

76

-13

13

226

Thomas Vanek

30

35

65

-8

63

211

Derek Roy

16

25

41

-19

57

175

Drew Stafford

13

25

38

-9

57

207

Luke Adam

16

16

32

-9

22

137

Christian Ehrhoff

5

25

30

-11

44

151

Nathan Gerbe

8

21

29

3

41

136

Jordan Leopold

13

14

27

-6

13

91

Paul Gaustad

9

13

22

2

99

80

Ville Leino

6

14

20

-13

13

68

Brad Boyes

5

16

21

-8

9

110

Marc-Andre Gragnani

2

17

19

16

32

52

Tyler Myers

6

11

17

-14

22

87

Jochen Hecht

6

6

12

2

9

63

Andrej Sekera

3

9

12

-5

19

80

Patrick Kaleta

6

3

9

-8

109

76

Zack Kassian

5

5

10

-2

21

46

Matt Ellis

5

5

10

-9

39

101

Tyler Ennis

5

3

8

-2

9

57

Brayden McNabb

2

6

8

-3

16

28

Paul Szczechura

2

5

7

0

6

17

Mike Weber

2

2

4

-22

47

41

Corey Tropp

2

2

4

-6

17

13

Robyn Regehr

0

3

3

-21

50

54

Cody McCormick

0

3

3

-11

66

50

TJ Brennan

2

0

2

-3

9

16

Derek Whitmore

0

0

0

0

0

3

Joe Finley

0

0

0

-5

19

2

Marcus Foligno

0

0

0

-2

0

2

Colin Stuart

0

0

0

-5

0

0

Of course, the poor run has been manifested pretty much across the board, and where once we were wondering if Vanek and Pominville would break the 100-pt mark, we now wonder if they'll even get to 80 points apiece. The depression continues when you look at where the Sabres stand statistically as a team, with the two seasons they missed out on the playoffs ('07-'08 & '08-'09) also included for perspective.

Season

GF

GA

Pts

2007-08

255

242

90

2008-09

250

234

91

2009-10

231

201

100

2010-11

240

228

96

2011-12

199

243

79

Only a quite miraculous streak from now on will even get us withing sniffing distance of the playoffs - 45 points roughly in 30 games, which would equate to a 20-5-5 record. Stranger things have happened in sports, but the overwhelming feeling is that they'll come heartbreakingly close but yet not make it.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Die By The Blade

You must be a member of Die By The Blade to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Die By The Blade. You should read them.

Join Die By The Blade

You must be a member of Die By The Blade to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Die By The Blade. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9355_tracker