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Around SBN: Sixers Vs. Celtics: Countdown To Game Seven

Daily Links for Wednesday, January 25

Why is a Sabres player smiling? Odd.

The Buffalo Sabres actually won a professional hockey game last night!. WE DID IT EVERYONE!! JIMMY, RELEASE THE BALLOONS!!! WOOOOOOOO!!!!

Devils Hoisted By Their Own Petard, Lose 2-1 In Shootout - In Lou We Trust
Devils lose 2-1 in a shootout against the Buffalo Sabres.

Sabres go break dancing - The Buffalo News
There was a strange noise coming from the Sabres' dressing room Tuesday night. It was, believe it or not, laughter.

Another concussion sidelines Hecht - The Buffalo News
Hecht visited with doctors, who diagnosed him with his second concussion of the season and third in less than a year.

Ryan Miller: Does Correlation Imply Causation? - The Hosers
Is it just a coincidence that Ryan Miller's worst season has come amidst such a dismal season for the team? Is he the cause of the problem or are his numbers the result of the problem?

Kassian added, McNabb subtracted for AHL All Star Game roster - Sabre Noise
The AHL announced several roster changes for its upcoming All Star Game, including two moves including Buffalo Sabres prospects.

1/21-22 Recap: Armia on tear; Knapp stellar - SabresProspects.com
Armia's offensive spike, marked by a variety of goal celebrations, has resulted in 13 points (7+6) in his last 10 games to up his season line to 36GP 12-12-24.

Star-divide

Wall-to-wall TV coverage for All-Star Weekend - NHL.com
NHL Network will have blanket coverage of the events at the upcoming 2012 NHL All-Star Weekend.

Thomas' White House snub, All-Star Game + 30 Thoughts - CBC Sports
Elliotte Friedman's 30 Thoughts columns are always good reads.

Rumor Roundup: Duck talk - THN
Could Lubomir Visnovsky be moved along with a big forward?; the latest on Ales Hemsky; and more.

NHL suffering lack of star power after loss of Sidney Crosby - SI.com
The looming NHL crisis is hiding in plain sight.

Rant answers: Shanahan, Wings and more - ESPN
Pierre LeBrun answers questions about Brenden Shanahan, Tim Thomas, and Sabres trades.

VIDEO: Richard Zednik, Kids Cheat Death As Hockey Rink Roof Collapses In Slovakia - SBNation.com
The December 2010 video of the Metrodome roof collapse in Minnesota is unbelievable, but this video of a similar incident in Slovakia over the weekend is utterly incomprehensible.

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The Hoff must’ve told one helluva joke.

by Binthet on Jan 25, 2012 7:55 AM EST reply actions  

I heard it was an exceptionally transgressive “The Aristocrats” joke…the most taboo one told in the past 20 years.

"We’re gonna win the Stanley Cup. Then, you know what, we’re gonna win it again,"
-Terry Pegula

by bgred105 on Jan 25, 2012 10:17 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

“Zee Talent Agent says ‘Vhat do you call your act?’ Zeh said ‘Eine Aristocrats!’”

by Philaster on Jan 25, 2012 10:35 AM EST up reply actions  

Man…..I think we may have seen the last of Hecht this year. 3 concussion in one year might mean that shutting it down is the prudent thing to do.

Thank you thank you thank you thank you sireric for bringing the furious punching cat back into my life. - poz

by bluecollarbuffalo on Jan 25, 2012 7:58 AM EST reply actions  

Agreed. Shut Hecht down for the season. Six months rest should help him.

.

When the job is finished no one remembers how long it took, just how well it was performed.

by Buffalo for Eternity on Jan 25, 2012 9:24 AM EST up reply actions  

He's not 26 anymore

How many concussions has he had total? I’d be worried about more permanent damage if he kept playing at all. I love me some Jochen, don’t get me wrong. I just don’t want something more permanent.

by Philaster on Jan 25, 2012 10:01 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

The Miller article was quite good

But it misses the point a little (in terms of how it looks to me anyway). The Sabres need to look toward a guy like Miller to lift them out of a slump and steal them a few points and wins. That hasn’t happened during this slump….until last night. Hopefully he gets on a hot streak. If he does, the Sabres will pull out some games where they play poorly and have a shot to sneak in to the playoffs. If he doesn’t….well, he’d better hope his teamates can get their act together and get out of the slump on their own.

Thank you thank you thank you thank you sireric for bringing the furious punching cat back into my life. - poz

by bluecollarbuffalo on Jan 25, 2012 8:03 AM EST reply actions  

The full D corps was there finally

Traffic was cleared in front of Miller for most of the night (the Sabres seem to have trouble clearing them out toward the end of a period). Miller could see the play develop and react accordingly. Miller also did not have to keep pushing opponents out of the way all night.

Clear them out in front, keep them to the outside, don’t let them run Miller and the Sabres may begin to turn this around.

Next things to get righted are ramping up the fore check and back check.

Go Sabres!

by drwho62 on Jan 25, 2012 8:47 AM EST up reply actions  

Nice to have Regehr and Erhoff back

And Miller played very well. I still found the inability to clear the zone maddening – but, at least they kept traffic in front of Miller to a minimum.

About fucking time!

by joeysimms on Jan 25, 2012 9:51 AM EST reply actions  

It seems to me that the Sabres think the only way to clear the puck from their zone is to have it go down the boards. Very rarely do they ever try to clear it out of the middle of the ice, it always has to go down the side to the awaiting opposition.

by Binthet on Jan 25, 2012 10:43 AM EST up reply actions  

Damn, Richard Zednik should stay away from hockey rinks.

by TheTick on Jan 25, 2012 10:28 AM EST reply actions  

Final Destination comes to mind.

by Binthet on Jan 25, 2012 10:43 AM EST reply actions  

Should silly string really make you this mad?

http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/nhl-puck-daddy/lightning-dismiss-thunderbug-silly-string-incident-boston-bruins-154442595.html

It won’t ruin your jersey or shirt, and its just silly fun.

"We’re gonna win the Stanley Cup. Then, you know what, we’re gonna win it again,"
-Terry Pegula

by bgred105 on Jan 25, 2012 11:02 AM EST reply actions  

Excellent Miller article by The Hosers.

Good stuff.

Save Jenrry Mejia!
2012 Amazin' Avenue Offseason Plan: 2nd place

by Ogre39666 on Jan 25, 2012 11:54 AM EST reply actions  

I agree.

They even did a OZQoc Chart recently that I wanted to do in a few weeks.

"We’re gonna win the Stanley Cup. Then, you know what, we’re gonna win it again,"
-Terry Pegula

by bgred105 on Jan 25, 2012 12:26 PM EST up reply actions  

I was just looking through their past posts, found this nugget on Grags:
Beyond baffling: Marc-Andre Gragnani leads the team with a goals against per 60 minutes of ice time of 1.71. He also leads the team with a .939 team save percentage while he is on the ice. He also ranks second at 2.99 goals scored per 60 minutes while he’s on the ice. I wish I had an explanation for this.

Save Jenrry Mejia!
2012 Amazin' Avenue Offseason Plan: 2nd place

by Ogre39666 on Jan 25, 2012 12:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Yes!

I need to be reading this site daily.

"We’re gonna win the Stanley Cup. Then, you know what, we’re gonna win it again,"
-Terry Pegula

by bgred105 on Jan 25, 2012 1:00 PM EST up reply actions  

maybe the explaination is simply that Grags is a pretty good player. Question for you and brgred105 since you seem to be interested in these kinds of stats: how much stock do you put in on ice save percentage as an indicator of a player’s defensive ability?

by Frank Reich Revolution on Jan 25, 2012 1:31 PM EST up reply actions  

I think it says something about the player’s ability of controlling the type of shots being taken on the ice. Of course a goalie can always let in a “bad goal”, but they have a much better chance of saving a shot if it is taken with little traffic in front of the net or from a spot that is hard to score in. That stat does show maybe how good Robyn Regehr is defensively, even though he has a largely negative relative Corsi number. Behindthenet.ca tracks all this information (and here is the link for all Sabres on-ice SV %)…not sure if you know about it, but I seem to check it out daily.

This stat could be examined in conjuncture with other stats too, such as Corsi Relative Quality of Competition (Corsi Rel QoC). For example, their On-Ice SV % could be low if they play a very high level of competition.

"We’re gonna win the Stanley Cup. Then, you know what, we’re gonna win it again,"
-Terry Pegula

by bgred105 on Jan 25, 2012 2:29 PM EST up reply actions  

Kris Baker was saying that he thought Gragnani at left wing pumped up Zagrapan during his time with the Amerks.

by Philaster on Jan 25, 2012 2:33 PM EST up reply actions  

Well I have yet to read a correlation study

but it looks like it’s a decent indicator of how good someone is at collecting rebounds or controlling the slot – two things which if allowed to be exploited would tend to lead to more goals against..

Save Jenrry Mejia!
2012 Amazin' Avenue Offseason Plan: 2nd place

by Ogre39666 on Jan 25, 2012 2:34 PM EST up reply actions  

Of course a goalie also has a large impact on things like rebounds so if there's a chance a goalie like Miller

who for my money up until this year had the best rebound control in the league could skew the numbers.

Save Jenrry Mejia!
2012 Amazin' Avenue Offseason Plan: 2nd place

by Ogre39666 on Jan 25, 2012 2:37 PM EST up reply actions  

The hilarious thing is that a lot of the Gragnani haters love Weber, and he apparently was dead last with 3.65 goals scored per 60 minutes. Yet because he “plays tough” and “gives 100 percent” he can do no wrong.

by Philaster on Jan 25, 2012 2:45 PM EST up reply actions  

Right next to Mike Weber in GA/60 and On-Ice SV%. Though according to PDO, which is:

…the sum of “On-Ice Shooting Percentage” and “On-Ice Save Percentage” while a player was on the ice. It regresses very heavily to the mean in the long-run: a team or player well above 1000 has generally played in good luck and should expect to drop going forward and vice-versa.*

Both players should improve and progress to the mean.

*behindthenet.ca definition

"We’re gonna win the Stanley Cup. Then, you know what, we’re gonna win it again,"
-Terry Pegula

by bgred105 on Jan 25, 2012 2:55 PM EST up reply actions  

On conversely Grags should get worse.

by Frank Reich Revolution on Jan 25, 2012 2:58 PM EST up reply actions  

That is true.

"We’re gonna win the Stanley Cup. Then, you know what, we’re gonna win it again,"
-Terry Pegula

by bgred105 on Jan 25, 2012 3:20 PM EST up reply actions  

Sample size could be an issue with Weber though – unless you think Ennis really is that tough to play against (.967 on ice SV%). Last season he (Weber) tied with Goose for best on the team with .936 and had the best GA/60 of any D-man at 1.88.

by Frank Reich Revolution on Jan 25, 2012 3:06 PM EST up reply actions  

Ruff could also be using him in different situations. The D has been pretty shook up since last year, but I don’t recall who Weber was paired with for the most part. He might be getting harder assignments this year.

by Philaster on Jan 25, 2012 3:52 PM EST up reply actions  

I seem to recall Weber playing with Montador late last year.

Save Jenrry Mejia!
2012 Amazin' Avenue Offseason Plan: 2nd place

by Ogre39666 on Jan 25, 2012 5:31 PM EST up reply actions  

Reading that now.

It’s a great way to get inside Ruff’s head and speaks to him still being a competent coach.

Save Jenrry Mejia!
2012 Amazin' Avenue Offseason Plan: 2nd place

by Ogre39666 on Jan 25, 2012 12:59 PM EST up reply actions  

I think Robert Vollman came up with the analysis….he is posting every article about it here. I just emailed to ask them if they mind me posting one up as well in the next few weeks since I had been working on one….I was going to make it a bubble chart, where the size of the bubbles are in reference to a player’s relative Corsi number (this was done at Raw Charge last month).

It is a surprisingly simple graph that explains a LOT into how Ruff plays certain players….it just takes me forever to work on articles for this site sometimes.

"We’re gonna win the Stanley Cup. Then, you know what, we’re gonna win it again,"
-Terry Pegula

by bgred105 on Jan 25, 2012 1:04 PM EST up reply actions  

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