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Around SBN: The End Of Sabanball: Details, Barbarians, And Precision

Drew Stafford: The Powerless Power Forward

MONTREAL- APRIL 3:  Ryan O'Byrne #20 of the Montreal Canadiens defends against Drew Stafford #21 of the Buffalo Sabres during the NHL game on April 3, 2010 at the Bell Centre in Montreal, Quebec, Canada.  (Photo by Richard Wolowicz/Getty Images)

First-round draft picks are in a conundrum the second they step foot onto the podium to don their new jersey and pose for the cameras. It's all or nothing for someone who is suggested to be a building block and a future star for an organization. Fail, and they're considered a major flop. Succeed, and they'll be drowning in praise. Talk about trying to bench press the weight of the world.

Drew Stafford, Buffalo's 13th overall pick in the 2004 Entry Draft, was chosen for his package of size and talent. Taken 12 spots after Alexander Ovechkin and 11 after Evgeni Malkin, his work with the North Dakota Fighting Sioux (in the Western Collegiate Hockey Association) stood out on Darcy Regier's radar. Stafford hoarded 24 goals in the final year of his WCHA shifts, and wasn't a slouch with the AHL's Rochester Americans, reaching 44 points in 34 games.

All of that directs us to 2007, otherwise known as Stafford's first sniff of NHL oxygen. Merely filling in for an ailing Maxim Afinogenov, he didn't look out of place on a roster featuring Daniel Briere, Chris Drury, Thomas Vanek, Jason Pominville, Derek Roy, Jochen Hecht and Brian Campbell. With half a season's worth of action, Stafford tossed in 27 points and had he played the full campaign, would have become Buffalo's seventh 20-goal scorer. Victimizing Olaf Kolzig and the Washington Capitals defense was his most sparkling moment, accompanied by his four points in the postseason.

Star-divide

Briere and Drury were erased from Buffalo's line-up in the summer and Stafford welcomed a permanent position, extra ice time and responsibility; or so we thought. A sophomore slump suffocated him to 38 points and five came in a 10-1 rout against the Atlanta Thrashers. Last year, he came through with 20 goals and 25 assists, hinting that he might be ready share the offensive container more and more. He was hardly dependable, as he had eight points in the first two months and six in the final two months. Most of his damage came in between when he scored 31 points in 40 games, including a sublime execution versus the Toronto Maple Leafs.

Things looked promising, but it went downhill from there because Stafford buried just 14 goals and 34 points this year, not once scoring in back-to-back nights. His convincing display came at home with the Pittsburgh Penguins holding a 3-0 lead, and he racked up two goals and an assist to bring Buffalo back from the dead on the way to a win. When Stafford flicks the 'on' switch, he can be an intimidating task for defensemen, but he's been accused - rightfully so - of picking and choosing the instances to turn it on.

Signed to a two-year, $3.8 million dollar deal prior to training camp, the 24-year-old was aided and abetted by premier forwards Roy and Vanek, but did little to repay them. For every goal Stafford got, his salary averaged each out to over $100,000 in payment - not a bad deal. He went on a 15 and 16-game dry spell, while scoring once in 25 contests during the second drought. On Dec.27, Andrej Sekera played as a winger for the first time in his career, replacing Stafford in St. Louis. Being brushed to the side for a fellow right wing player is one thing, but being held back for a defenseman who didn't ever experiment as a forward is a disgrace of it's own kind. And he had a terrific view of Buffalo's last postseason match from the press box, being a healthy scratch again; an appropriate end to his year.

He had the support from management, the privilege of elite line-mates and came off a career-year in 2009. How did it all go so awfully? As it turns out, Stafford is not prepared to suffer the bumps and bruises that come in a power forward's existence. Like a vampire avoiding sunlight, he didn't go to the net and threw away chances for a shot as if they were pennies. If Stafford needs to learn a few important pieces of advice, it's that less is more and stick to the basics of the game. A pep talk from Brooks Laich, who doesn't need directions to the crease, would work.

"If you want money, go to the bank. If you want bread, go to the bakery. If you want goals, go to the net."

The resiliency of Tyler Ennis, Tim Kennedy and Nathan Gerbe, who are well below the six-feet mark in height, isn't helping Stafford's cause. They don't mind withstanding their share of abuse and with comparisons like that, you can see why Lindy Ruff believed he was better off taking youth ahead of an experienced player who has failed to live up to expectations.

Drew Stafford's best consistency came in his rookie year, when he played each game with the mindset that his window was being shut, because it was a try-out. With his future in doubt and one year remaining on his contract, it's befitting that he'll be in the same position at the start of his fifth season; a power forward who'll have to power his way into the organization's good graces.

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Pretty sad that the second highlight of the season behind that Toronto game was Festivus. I wonder if Darcy would consider trading him or if he’d rather hold on to him to see how he reacts to a contract year/stiff competition for a roster spot.

by Traver on May 4, 2010 1:54 PM EDT reply actions  

haha as soon as I saw the title I knew it was a Rafal story.

Drew Stafford, Buffalo’s 13th overall pick in the 2004 Entry Draft, was chosen for his package of size and talent. Taken 12 spots after Alexander Ovechkin and 11 after Evgeni Malkin.

Thats just sad. Staff isnt in the same league as those two… (well technically all NHLers… but you know what I mean lol)

Good story Rafal. I cant rememeber who said it on here, but a few days ago someone mentioned giving him thru the first month next year and if still playing the same game then send him packing… and I agree with that. Im willing to give him 10-13 more games to show something, but we havent seen it yet so im doubting it. Pretty depressing he didnt turn out to be anything really… only if he was a little more tough in the “dirty” areas.

"You cant teach speed." - Welcome to Buffalo CJ Spiller
09-10 Sabres: Good season, disappointing ending. Lets have next year be THE year!!

by bflo on May 4, 2010 2:07 PM EDT reply actions  

Regier won’t throw away a former 1st rounder in the off-season. He’ll entertain offers but won’t give the kid away. As Lindy said in the post-season presser, he worked with Drew a lot this season. It didn’t do much good in-season, but it tells me that they aren’t quite ready to throw him aside completely. If a good deal comes along Regier will move him, but if not, Stafford will be fighting with Kassian and any UFA’s that are signed in the off-season for a job. If he doesn’t respond, he’ll be dumped for a 3rd or 4th round pick and the Sabres will shed his salary for bank cap space at the deadline.

Ta,

by Tom Luongo on May 4, 2010 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

That sounds about right.

"The horse jumped over the f#@king fence."
- KV

by TEMSON on May 4, 2010 3:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

Just a 3rd Rounder now...

Paille failed to score 16 goals, so the Sabres only get the 3rd round pick in return for him now. Had he scored 16 or more, the Sabres would have gotten an additional 4th round pick. It was worth it, if you ask me… for both teams. Not playing in Buffalo and a solid 3rd line defensive player with speed for Boston.

DC Chocolate City!

by djc1877 on May 4, 2010 7:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

Rafal, please, don’t show me those highlights. You’re only going to get me thinking about what he could be again.

"The horse jumped over the f#@king fence."
- KV

by TEMSON on May 4, 2010 3:25 PM EDT reply actions  

Other 2004 notables in the 1st and 2nd rounds drafted after Stafford

15. Alexander Radulov (Right Wing) Russia Nashville Predators
20. Travis Zajac (Center) Canada New Jersey Devils
21. Wojtek Wolski (Left Wing) Canada Colorado Avalanche
29 Mike Green (Defense) * Canada Washington Capitals (From Detroit)4
32. Dave Bolland (Centre) Canada Chicago Blackhawks
53. David Booth (Left Wing) United States Florida Panthers
63. David Krejci (Centre) Czech Republic Boston Bruins

by sabre74kkn on May 4, 2010 4:32 PM EDT reply actions  

lest I forget ... :)

176. Patrick Kaleta (Right Wing) United States Buffalo Sabres

by sabre74kkn on May 4, 2010 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

Don’t do this to yourself – it never leads anywhere good.

Think of all the players chosen before Myers who are half the player (literally and figuratively) that he is.

There are always going to be great players taken later in the draft, no organization hits on all their draft picks. Where Stafford was chosen isn’t his fault and comparing him to players like this is unfair unless you’re also going to compare him to all the players chosen after him who aren’t even going to make it to the NHL.

"The horse jumped over the f#@king fence."
- KV

by TEMSON on May 4, 2010 4:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

I know … it’s not a case of “we should have picked so and so”, but more of a comparison to see how others in a similar age have developed. It’s good to see career arcs and see how some pan out and others don’t. I think it’s fair to say that there are areas in Stafford’s, for what he was drafted for, that haven’t developed as quickly as one would think.

The Hurricanes traded Andrew Ladd to Chicago for Tuomo Ruutu. That’s a great example of a trade that completely benefited both players and both teams. I’d LOVE to see Darcy make a move like that but I just don’t see him pulling it off crossing fingers

by sabre74kkn on May 4, 2010 5:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Those kinds of trades a few and far between. Usually someone gets the better end of a trade, though it’s rarely apparent early on.

"The horse jumped over the f#@king fence."
- KV

by TEMSON on May 4, 2010 5:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

like us in the Briere trade with PHO lol

"You cant teach speed." - Welcome to Buffalo CJ Spiller
09-10 Sabres: Good season, disappointing ending. Lets have next year be THE year!!

by bflo on May 4, 2010 6:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’d actually think they’re more common in the salary cap era, where moving salary, especially high priced players with big contracts, are much tougher. OTOH, its easier to swap out players for players because you can limit the extra or excess salary you can potentially incur and also keep within the confines of the cap.

Sometimes, again, a change of scenery is necessary. I think Stafford is at the point where he needs one.

by sabre74kkn on May 5, 2010 10:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

Sometimes, again, a change of scenery is necessary. I think Stafford is at the point where he needs one.

A la Max…

"You cant teach speed." - Welcome to Buffalo CJ Spiller
09-10 Sabres: Good season, disappointing ending. Lets have next year be THE year!!

by bflo on May 5, 2010 11:22 AM EDT up reply actions  

Dave Bolland (Centre) Canada Chicago Blackhawks

Not to go down “What we could have had road…”

But that would have been awesome. I love the way he plays.

"You cant teach speed." - Welcome to Buffalo CJ Spiller
09-10 Sabres: Good season, disappointing ending. Lets have next year be THE year!!

by bflo on May 4, 2010 6:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

Trade with Kings?

I’d like the Sabres to deal Stafford and Rivet (even though he had a solid playoff series) to Los Angeles for Jack Johnson and Michal Handzus. Combined salaries would be a close match for both teams… Kings were apparently shopping Johnson prior to Olympics and trade deadline. Regier has had an eye on Handzus in years past… he’d be an upgrade at center for faceoffs.

DC Chocolate City!

by djc1877 on May 4, 2010 7:06 PM EDT reply actions  

I’m not sure defense is a position we should be looking to get younger at. I’m already mildly concerned with the prospect of losing one or both of Lydman and Tallinder. If we added in this trade we could potentially have a defense composed of Myers, Sekera, Butler, Weber, Johnson, and Montador which wouldn’t be terrible because those are all good players but would be extremely young outside of Montador.

That being said I don’t hate the trade though we already have quite a few centers and Gaustad is kind of a face off specialist.

"The horse jumped over the f#@king fence."
- KV

by TEMSON on May 4, 2010 7:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

True, but...

As we saw in the playoffs, when Gaustad gets tossed from the faceoffs or if he isn’t on the ice at the time… our other guys really struggle winning draws. This has been a weakness for the Sabres for quite some time… not to mention, having Gaustad on the ice late in games for just a faceoff also limits their offensive capabilities that may be leveraged better by a more offensive player who can win draws more consistently. Gaustad, in my opinion, is more ideal for winning draws in our own defensive zone and prohibiting opponents from tying games when the Sabres are up by a goal. In terms of Rivet vs. Johnson and experience vs. youth on defense, I’m in between. I understand Rivet’s value with his experience and the fact that he was really the only guy willing to drop the gloves to defend a teammate (everyone else would just skate up to guys and politely ask them to stop, it appeared). That being said, $3.5 mil per year for what he provides the Sabres just isn’t a fair value. I’d much rather spend that money on a young, rugged blueliner with mobility and heart who can be a Sabre for the long haul. Handzus would provide a stopgap until Luke Adam is ready in another year. I guess my assumption is that the Sabres may move Connolly or Roy in a deal, as well. What would you think of Connolly (1 yr, $4.5mil) for Kaberle (1 yr, $4.25mil)? Similar contracts, Leafs looking for Top 6 forward, Buffalo needing PP Specialist on blueline (and his experience would help replace Rivet).

Another addition I’d love to see… sign RW Lee Stempniak (and re-sign Mike Grier) to play them together on the 3rd line, maybe with Gerbe in the middle???

DC Chocolate City!

by djc1877 on May 4, 2010 7:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don’t know if the Kings would go for that trade, but I really don’t know how much they value those players. Johnson was a 3rd overall pick though and to trade him away for an underachieving power forward seems a little pie in the sky. I’d go for it if we could swing it though, I’d just also want to sign at least one of Tallinder/Lydman.

As for Connolly for Kaberle I’d be ok with that if it meant we weren’t signing Tallinder or Lydman. Our defense would be Myers, Kaberle, Montador, Rivet, Sekera, Butler. I’m not thrilled about the trade but I could see it as an improvement. It would also free up cap space for us in a way because we’d be shedding Hank and Toni’s contracts (over 5 million). I don’t know if I’d be comfortable asking Ennis to step into Connolly’s role right away though. In the end, the more I think about it the more I’d go for this – but I don’t think Toronto would.

Lastly, I doubt we’ll be able to sign Stempniak away from Pheonix and their 8 million in cap space, but I could be wrong about that considering their uncertain financial footing outside of the cap. Even if we did sign him I wouldn’t expect Gerbe to center that line, if anyone it would be Ennis I think. I don’t see how the Sabres could possibly keep Roy, Connolly, Kennedy, Ennis, and Gerbe in the lineup. My guess is Gerbe will see injury relief for those other players.

"The horse jumped over the f#@king fence."
- KV

by TEMSON on May 4, 2010 7:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

I should also mention that Kaberle is in steady decline. Since the lockout his point totals have been 67, 58, 53, and 49 (ignoring 08-09 where he only played 57 games and had 31 points).

"The horse jumped over the f#@king fence."
- KV

by TEMSON on May 4, 2010 7:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

He does play for Toronto

They need some players to put the puck in the net for him

by Monotonousblob on May 4, 2010 10:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

Johnson is a headcase. He turned down a lucrative offer from Carolina, asked to be traded (or the father asked), then got to LA, whined and complained some more, and again has been part of trade rumors for the last bit. Talented yes, but with a fair amount of bagged I don’t see this organization taking on (along with likely crazy salary demands).

by sabre74kkn on May 5, 2010 10:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

Even if Stafford played out of his mind next season, I still don’t know if I’d trust him. The dude spends too much time listening to metal and eating Chipotle.

by JSCoope on May 5, 2010 12:58 AM EDT reply actions  

Mmmm

Chipotle!

Here's hoping!

by mcmaurer on May 5, 2010 1:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

If you're a Syracuse fan

You know the evil powers of Chipotle.

"Grind now, shine later." - Wesley Johnson

by Afino on May 5, 2010 7:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

Chipotle single-handedly ruined our season.

"The horse jumped over the f#@king fence."
- KV

by TEMSON on May 5, 2010 10:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

I hope we Sabres fans don’t have to be disappointed by another year of watching Stafford pretend he is a hockey player. He epitomizes the word slug. He has no self-respect, no respect for the fans, no respect for management and does not appreciate the opportunity he has to be playing in the NHL. He enjoys collecting his underserved salary, but does as little as possible to earn it.

I hope Regier can unload him (not that that will be an easy task) in the off season.

by Geolover on May 5, 2010 3:14 PM EDT reply actions  

I hate Nancy Drew.

"Grind now, shine later." - Wesley Johnson

by Afino on May 5, 2010 7:26 PM EDT reply actions  

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