Buffalo Sabres Individual Goal Percentages

The other day I read a great post at The Copper & Blue regarding individual players point percentage and this morning I read a similar post at the great advanced stats site Behind the Net. It made me wonder what the Sabres point percentages and goal percentages were for this season. 

After doing the research I was surprised by the wide variance in the results. The results of the experiment did not yield the expected results which prompted me to wonder about past seasons as well. I saved the past seasons for another post and I will share the results for this season.

This chart will show how each individual player fares in their time on the ice. It is interesting to find out how much a player actually contributes in comparison to other players that are on the ice at the same time.

 

 Player GP GF/OI Goals G-Pct. PTS PTS-Pct.
 Patrick Kaleta 45 18 9 50 14 77.8
 Mike Grier 55 27 9 33.3 19 70.4
 Paul Gaustad 49 28 9 32.1 16 57.1
 Jochen Hecht 64 46 14 30.4 31 67.4
 Derek Roy 62 57 17 29.8 46 80.7
 Thomas Vanek 59 65 19 29.2 41 63.1
 Drew Stafford 59 45 13 28.9 28 62.2
 Adam Mair 51 16 4 25 10 62.5
 Jason Pominville 64 67 16 23.9 43 64.2
 Tim Kennedy 60 29 6 20.7 18 62.1
 Tim Connolly 64 73 15 20.5 57 78.1
 Matt Ellis 54 13 2 15.4 7 53.9
 Andrej Sekera 37 29 4 13.8 9 31
 Tyler Myers 64 70 8 11.4 32 45.7
 Steve Montador 60 36 3 8.3 17 47.2
 Toni Lydman 49 33 2 6.1 14 42.2
 Henrik Tallinder 64 51 3 5.9 15 29.4
 Craig Rivet 62 41 1 2.4 13 31.7
 Chris Butler 50 48 1 2.1 20 41.7
Legend: GP=Games Played, GF/OI = Goals for while a player is on the ice, G-Pct. = percentage of goals scored while on ice

 

This chart immediately makes me wonder if Patrick Kaleta could be more of an offensive force if he played on another line. He has scored 50% of the goals that have been scored while he has been on the ice, could a playmaker help him be more of an offensive player? I don't think it would work, he is getting offensive chances and scoring goals because he is playing against lesser competition from the opponent.

Kaleta is the perfect fourth line player. He plays a physical style, gets under the skin of his opponent and with nine goals he has shown he can contribute offensively. A good fourth line can be the difference between a team that is eliminated in the first round or a team that can challenge for the Stanley Cup.

I wasn't satisfied by looking at the goal scoring percentage because the power play can heavily influence those numbers. Just like Behind the Net did in their post, I broke down the Sabres scoring numbers while they are even strength and shorthanded.

 Player GP ES/SH GF ES/SH G G-Pct. ES/SH PTS PTS-Pct.
 Patrick Kaleta 45 18 9 50 14 77.8
 Paul Gaustad 49 17 6 35.3 11 64.7
 Mike Grier 55 27 9 33.3 18 66.7
 Thomas Vanek 59 37 11 29.7 26 70.3
 Jochen Hecht 64 44 13 29.5 30 68.2
 Derek Roy 62 38 11 28.9 31 81.6
 Adam Mair 51 14 4 28.6 10 71.4
 Jason Pominville 64 39 10 25.6 29 74.4
 Drew Stafford 59 33 8 24.2 19 57.6
 Tim Connolly 64 45 10 22.2 31 68.9
 Tim Kennedy 60 25 5 20 16 64
 Matt Ellis 54 12 2 16.7 7 58.3
 Andrej Sekera 37 26 4 15.4 8 30.7
 Tyler Myers 64 49 5 10.2 19 38.8
 Steve Montador 60 35 3 8.6 16 45.7
 Toni Lydman 49 32 2 6.3 14 43.8
 Henrik Tallinder 64 49 3 6.1 14 28.6
 Chris Butler 50 28 1 3.6 9 32.1
 Craig Rivet 62 30 1 3.3 7 23.3
Legend: GP=Games Played, ES/SH GF = Even Strength and shorthanded goals for while a player is on the ice, G-Pct. = percentage of goals scored while on ice

 

There wasn't a big change in the numbers when comparing the total and the even strength numbers. There were some subtle changes but not a glaring difference. The forwards obviously have better percentages than the defense and I don't think it is a surprise that Andrej Sekera and Tyler Myers have the best numbers on the defense.

I obviously couldn't include Raffi Torres in the charts above so I did separate charts for him.

Total Goals
 Raffi Torres GP GF/OI Goals G-Pct. PTS PTS-Pct.
 with Columbus 60 37 19 51.4 31 83.8
 Total 62 39 19 48.7 32 82.1
Even Strength/Shorthanded Goal Percentage
 Raffi Torres GP GF/OI Goals G-Pct. PTS PTS-Pct.
 with Columbus 60 24 12 50 22 91.7
 Total 62 26 12 46.2 23 88.5

 

Torres immediately becomes the best player on the team with the numbers above. He had a different atmosphere in Columbus but I expect he will contribute offensively in Buffalo as well after he gets comfortable with his new teammates.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Die By The Blade

You must be a member of Die By The Blade to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Die By The Blade. You should read them.

Join Die By The Blade

You must be a member of Die By The Blade to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Die By The Blade. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9355_tracker