Tropp and Adam Continue to Lead Sabres Prospects

The month of February has come to close and that means it is time for our monthly look at the Sabres prospects. Last month I introduced a post that used NHLE to compare the prospects in the Sabres organization. It isn't a perfect science but it is a way to evaluate the players that play in different leagues.

NHLE is basically a way to estimate how a prospect would do if they were playing in the NHL based on their statistics in the league they are currently playing in. A full explanation on how it works can be found here.

How difficult is it to score a goal in the National Hockey League (NHL) relative to another league?  With half of NHL players coming from the minor leagues, a quarter from European Elite Leagues, 20% coming directly from Canadian Major Junior and 10% from the NCAA, that’s a question NHL teams try to answer every day.  In evaluating these players, it is critical to know how a player’s performance translates to the NHL.

 

One way to evaluate the difficulty of one league relative to another is examine the relative performance of players who have played in both leagues.  Players rarely play significant time in two leagues in the same year, but they often play in one league in one year and in another the next.  As long as a player’s skill level is approximately constant over this two year period, the ratio of his performance in each league can be used to estimate the relative difficulty of the two leagues.

 Player - League Date of Birth Draft Position GP G A PTS NHL PPG NHL-82
 Corey Tropp - NCAA 7/25/1989 89 36 20 22 42 0.478 39
 Luke Adam - QMJHL 6/18/1990 44 50 46 36 82 0.459 38
 Tyler Ennis - AHL 10/6/1989 26 61 19 40 59 0.426 35
 Nathan Gerbe - AHL 7/24/1987 142 32 8 20 28 0.385 32
 Jacob Lagace - QMJHL 1/9/1990 134 54 33 37 70 0.363 30
 Zack Kassian - OHL 1/24/1991 13 34 9 19 28 0.247 20
 Maxime Legault - QMJHL 3/28/1989 194 41 14 22 36 0.246 20
 Paul Byron - AHL 4/27/1987 179 38 8 11 19 0.22 18
 Derek Whitmore - AHL 12/17/1984 ND 59 14 12 26 0.194 16
 Felix Schutz - AHL 11/3/1987 117 55 12 12 24 0.192 16
 Marcus Foligno - OHL 8/10/1991 104 60 13 24 37 0.185 15
 Phillip Gogulla - AHL 7/31/1987 48 58 9 15 24 0.182 15
 Travis Turnbull - AHL 7/7/1986 ND 40 5 9 14 0.154 13
 Justin Jokinen - NCAA 11/25/1989 101 24 3 1 4 0.068 6
 Nick Crawford - OHL 2/23/1990 164 61 10 56 66 0.325 27
 Marc-Andre Gragnani - AHL 3/11/1987 87 47 9 23 32 0.3 25
 Brayden McNabb - WHL 1/21/1991 66 58 16 39 55 0.284 23
 Drew Mackenzie - NCAA 12/17/1987 209 29 3 10 13 0.184 15
 TJ Brennan - AHL 4/3/1989 31 47 4 11 15 0.14 12
 Mike Kostka - AHL 11/28/1985 ND 57 2 16 18 0.139 11
 Alex Biega - NCAA 4/4/1988 147 29 2 7 9 0.127 10
 Matt Generous - AHL 5/4/1985 208 51 2 11 13 0.112 9
 Mike Weber - AHL 12/16/1987 57 61 2 13 15 0.108 9
 Jordon Southorn - QMJHL 5/15/1990 104 61 4 18 22 0.101 8
 Drew Schiestel - AHL 3/9/1989 59 37 1 7 8 0.095 8
 Dennis Persson - AHL 6/2/1988 24 43 1 5 6 0.061 5
 Corey Fienhage - NCAA 5/11/1990 81 25 0 2 2 0.033 3
 Mark Adams - USHL 5/23/1991 134 39 3 4 7 0.025 2

 

Corey Tropp is still leading the way at the top but his point total has slowed down in the month of March. The playoffs are approaching very quickly for the NCAA and Michigan State will need some offense from Tropp to have any chance of making some noise.

Late season pressure doesn't seem to bother Luke Adam. Adam has continued to be an offensive force for Cape Breton and has built off the momentum of the World Junior Tournament. Adam scored 11 goals in nine games during the month of February and has closed the gap on Corey Tropp at the top of the list of prospects.

Adam, Tyler Ennis and Marc-Andre Gragnani are the three players that seem to be playing the best at this point in the season. While the trhee players above are playing well, Corey Tropp, Jacob Lagace and Brayden McNabb are the three players that have cooled off during the month of February. March marks the playoffs for many of these players and it will be interesting to see how they handle the increased pressure.

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