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The National Post takes a look at the Possible Domino Effect

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The National Post examines the possible effect that the Coyotes possibly moving to Hamilton would create on the Sabres and according to them, it would absolutely devastate them.

The main debate on whether the NHL can prove that if the Coyotes move to Hamilton, it would create undue stress on the Sabres.  Many feel that the Sabres fanbase is too small to handle a team infringing on its territory and that the new Hamilton team would create more issues for the Sabres.  South Buffalo Councilman Mickey Kearns has some interesting quotes about the situation:

"If we were talking about a much bigger city, like a New York or a Chicago, I think they could probably handle and absorb that competition," Kearns said. "But this could be very detrimental to the Buffalo Sabres, and I do think that the NHL has to look very closely before they consider moving that team to Hamilton."

I honestly do not believe that the full time Canadian influence on this team hovers around 15%  While 15% seems like a lot, it only represents about 3,000 season tickets which I feel that could be absorbed by the rest of the area.  While Buffalo is the third poorest city in America and losing people left and right, if this team was put in Windsor or any where near the Detroit area this debate would never happen.  Detroit and Buffalo can almost be considered mirror cities with both suffering through hard times, Buffalo losing people with the steel industry and Detroit losing people with the auto industry.  The Detroit area seems to be able to handle four professional sports teams while the Buffalo area can only handle one possibly two. 

The Buffalo area is more than suitable to handle a team moving to Hamilton.  What is unknown in this whole situation is whether Hamilton could handle an NHL team.  Many things have to happen for the Coyotes to play in Hamilton including the reconstruction of Copps Coliseum among them.  While Balsillie has all of those plans in the works, is it possible for him to fund all of this and possibly handle a major debt load.  The cost of the team could skyrocket to near $500 million if the NHL decides to enter a relocation fee and adding on top of that the added cost of completely renovating Copps, this deal could run into the billion dollar territory. 

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Hamilton can handle another team, easily, as they’d simply draw everyone from Toronto, Mississauga, etc. And the arena reno appears like it’ll only cost Balsillie $30-million.

The market’s not the concern; the massive indemnity fee may be (if the court rules it’s legal).

Blogging on hockey at fromtherink.com

by James Mirtle on Jun 12, 2009 2:15 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Agreed James, I am not worried about the teams. Plus if the indemnity fee is high and Balsillie pays it, then 1) the Sabres are well off in the short term and 2) Balsillie will probably set ticket prices rather high to offset the fee and purchase price so the Sabres will still get fans from Canada for the lower priced tickets. I can’t see the Sabres being “absolutely devastate[d]” by this. After all, this still is one of the top US hockey markets in the country (population losses and Erie County messes notwithstanding).

The population of Pominville keeps rising!

by Blackcapricorn on Jun 12, 2009 3:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

From everything that has come out in the past few days, it would most likely seem that the Sabres are going to just collapse along with the whole Buffalo region.

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by Zachary Zielonka on Jun 12, 2009 4:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The tix for a Hamilton franchise would appear to be much higher priced, so you’re right. If you leave close to Buffalo, it’s still the best option for cheap tickets.

Blogging on hockey at fromtherink.com

by James Mirtle on Jun 12, 2009 4:24 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I for one would love to see a team in Hamilton. There are many reasons for rivalries to begin but geography is still the number one factor in rivalries. There is no doubt that a team in Hamilton would be an instant rival for the Sabres.

I don’t think the Sabres will have any problem staying financially stable with a team in Hamilton. People from Canada will still attend games in Buffalo because it is a short trip and the price will remain cheaper as you noted above. Is it unreasonable to think that some fans in Fort Erie and Niagara Falls that are already Sabres fans will remain Sabres fans? I don’t think it is unreasonable to think they will remain Sabres fans. In fact I would say it is likely.

D.O.
www.diebytheblade.com - An SB nation destination for Sabres fans everywhere

by David Oleksy on Jun 13, 2009 8:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don’t think the Detroit/Buffalo comparison is valid here; Detroit is still the anchor of a metro area of about 5 million people, Buffalo only as about a million, maybe 2 if Rochester is thrown in there. The city of Detroit is a hellhole, but its suburbs still remain rather wealthy.

A team in Hamilton may not kill the Sabres, but it will make things very tough for them. Still, 6 games versus the Leafs and 6 versus the new Hamilton team would be sold out, so maybe it wouldn’t hurt as badly as many think it would.

If Tom Golisano concentrates on marketing the team throughout the area (even down into Erie and across into Niagara Falls) team rather than dubious political stunts, maybe the Sabres will be just fine.

by WalterSobchak on Jun 12, 2009 8:37 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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