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Around SBN: Terry Collins, David Wright, And The Mets/Brewers Kerfuffle

Crunching Numbers: Myers and Tallinder Given Tough Assignment

It took me a couple of weeks to get back in the swing of things but the statistical analysis is back by community demand. I will try my best to keep up with every game in the near future but back-to-back games might be tough to do. I have not figured out a way to automate the stats yet so I have to do them by hand, which I enjoy doing but it is time consuming.

This is probably not the best game to bring the Corsi numbers back because the stats in this game can be a little misleading. There is no way that anyone will be able to completely shutdown Alexander Ovechkin and the high powered Capitals offense. The plan is to try to take away their ice and force them to take their shots from the outside. The Sabres did that on Wednesday night but the Corsi numbers are admittedly bad for some players.

Star-divide

 

Game Stats
# Player Pos TOI +/- FO% Hits GV TK BS
4 Steve Montador D 16:38 1 0% 0 0 0 2
5 Toni Lydman D 16:56 0 - 2 1 0 1
9 Derek Roy C 15:02 2 58% 0 0 1 3
10 Henrik Tallinder D 22:39 1 - 1 2 1 0
13 Tim Kennedy C 17:47 1 20% 1 2 0 1
19 Tim Connolly C 16:36 0 20% 0 0 1 0
21 Drew Stafford RW 14:54 1 0% 0 0 1 1
22 Adam Mair C 9:56 1 - 2 0 0 0
26 Thomas Vanek LW 16:00 0 0% 1 1 2 0
29 Jason Pominville RW 19:49 1 0% 1 0 0 0
36 Patrick Kaleta RW 12:16 0 0% 2 0 0 0
37 Matt Ellis LW 10:16 0 50% 0 0 0 1
41 Clarke MacArthur LW 15:48 0 50% 0 0 0 1
42 Nathan Gerbe LW 14:28 1 - 0 0 1 0
44 Andrej Sekera D 16:37 1 - 1 1 0 1
52 Craig Rivet D 17:35 0 - 0 1 0 0
55 Jochen Hecht LW 16:56 0 9% 0 2 0 1
57 Tyler Myers D 25:47 1 - 0 6 0 8
TOI = Total Time on Ice GV = Giveaways
FO% = Faceoff percentage TK = Takeaways
Hits = Total Hits BS=Blocked Shots

 

There are a couple of very interesting numbers in the game stats that are listed above. It's fun to watch these numbers on a game by game basis and see how they compare to each other. It was interesting to see how the Sabres were able to role four lines in this game while other nights the fourth line might play only four or five minutes.

Other interesting stats...

  • Tyler Myers had an interesting stat line...six giveaways (very bad) and eight blocked shots (very good). I can't ever remember seeing a Sabres player finish a game with eight blocked shots. It's obvious that Myers is counted on because he was matched up with Ovechkin all night and finished with almost 26 minutes of ice time.
  • The Sabres desperately miss Paul Gaustad in the faceoff circle. It was nice to see Derek Roy do well but Jochen Hecht lost 10 of the 11 draws he took. I'm not sure what is worse...the 10 losses or the coaching staff allowing him to continue to take faceoffs despite being obviously over-matched.
  • Derek Roy is another player that jumps off the page. On Monday he was benched in the third period and played only a couple of shifts. He responded by having a great game. He had zero giveaways which is unheard of for Roy and he was one of the few Sabres that did well at the faceoff dot.
 Corsi Numbers

 

Even Strength Individual Stats Even Strength On-Ice Totals
# Player Pos EV TOI G A Shots S A/B S Miss SOGF SOGA SOG Diff Tot SF Tot SA Corsi
4 Steve Montador D 16:38 1 0 2 1 0 11 9 2 20 17 3
5 Toni Lydman D 15:43 0 0 1 0 2 7 5 2 11 14 -3
9 Derek Roy C 12:59 0 1 1 2 0 6 6 0 12 13 -1
10 Henrik Tallinder D 21:49 1 0 2 0 1 8 18 -10 12 29 -17
13 Tim Kennedy C 17:44 0 0 1 1 0 8 16 -8 12 24 -12
19 Tim Connolly C 12:14 0 0 1 1 0 7 6 1 8 14 -6
21 Drew Stafford RW 13:23 0 0 1 0 0 4 8 -4 10 13 -3
22 Adam Mair C 9:56 0 0 2 0 0 5 5 0 11 10 1
26 Thomas Vanek LW 12:23 0 0 5 0 1 7 4 3 10 9 1
29 Jason Pominville RW 15:16 0 1 1 0 0 6 14 -8 10 23 -13
36 Patrick Kaleta RW 11:30 0 0 2 1 0 6 6 0 12 12 0
37 Matt Ellis LW 9:33 0 0 0 1 1 4 6 -2 10 10 0
41 Clarke MacArthur LW 12:00 0 0 0 1 0 6 5 1 8 11 -3
42 Nathan Gerbe LW 13:21 0 1 1 0 2 4 8 -4 9 15 -6
44 Andrej Sekera D 15:17 0 0 1 1 1 8 10 -2 18 16 2
52 Craig Rivet D 14:48 0 0 0 1 0 6 8 -2 11 14 -3
55 Jochen Hecht LW 16:08 0 0 2 0 0 4 14 -10 7 21 -14
57 Tyler Myers D 21:23 0 0 0 0 0 6 17 -11 10 28 -18
EV TOI = Even Strength time on ice SOGA = Team shots against while on ice
EV TOI = Even Strength time on ice SOG Diff = Difference shots on ice
S A/B = shots attempted and blocked Tot SF = Total shots including blocked/missed
S Miss = Shots missed the net Tot SA = Total Shots Ag. Including blocked/missed
SOGF = Team Shots while on ice Corsi = Difference in Total Shots

 

The Corsi number is a statistic that what created by Sabres goalie coach JIm Corsi. It is the difference in total shots for and the total shots against. It factors in all shots that were on net, attempts that were blocked and shots that missed the net. The idea is that it is a better reflection on a players two-way play because it shows puck possession as opposed to only shots on goal.

I mentioned in the opening paragraph that the numbers for this game would be misleading and a look above proves it. Henrik Tallinder and Tyler Myers did a great job of forcing Ovechkin to take poor quality shots but he still managed to control the puck much of the time. If you were to judge the play of the pair on Corsi Numbers, you would think they were awful and that couldn't be further from the truth.

The line of Kennedy, Pominville and Hecht was most often on the ice against Ovechkin as well and that would explain the poor Corsi numbers for those players.

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Yeah, the corsi numbers aren’t great but when you consider we kept the Ovechkin, Semin, Backstrom line off the board it’s definitely good stuff.
Did you see the puck daddy’s three stars? Miller got honorable mention.. sheesh.
Bruins and Senators both won tonight, Bruins took Northeast division again. Damn it.

by Traver on Dec 10, 2009 11:02 PM EST reply actions  

Myers

I love the way this kid plays. He does so much for the team on both ends of the ice. Some of his giveaways are rookie mistakes, sure, but many of them are caused by creative attempts to make a play that don’t work out. I hope he keeps doing what he’s doing.

by Frank Reich Revolution on Dec 11, 2009 12:34 AM EST reply actions  

I hope RJ has a good one waiting for the inevitable ownage goal.

by Traver on Dec 11, 2009 1:35 AM EST up reply actions  

More Statistical goodness: Goal Differential

I just ran the numbers from this morning’s standings. I’m not much of a stats guy when it comes to hockey, but some are instructive from a big picture perspective.

’ GP GF GA GFA GAA Differential
Washington 31 111 85 3.58 2.74 0.84
Chicago 29 87 65 3.00 2.24 0.76
New Jersey 29 85 63 2.93 2.17 0.76

San Jose 32 108 87 3.38 2.72 0.66
Calgary 30 90 72 3.00 2.40 0.60
Pittsburgh 32 102 85 3.19 2.66 0.53
Vancouver 31 97 81 3.13 2.61 0.52
Buffalo 28 76 62 2.71 2.21 0.50
Atlanta 29 92 85 3.17 2.93 0.24
Boston 30 81 74 2.70 2.47 0.23
Phoenix 31 77 71 2.48 2.29 0.19
Los Angeles 33 103 99 3.12 3.00 0.12
Philadelphia 29 86 83 2.97 2.86 0.10
Colorado 33 98 96 2.97 2.91 0.06
Detroit 30 83 83 2.77 2.77 0.00
Dallas 30 88 89 2.93 2.97 -0.03
Nashville 31 81 85 2.61 2.74 -0.13
Edmonton 31 93 97 3.00 3.13 -0.13
Ottawa 30 86 91 2.87 3.03 -0.17
NY Rangers 30 84 90 2.80 3.00 -0.20
St. Louis 29 71 77 2.45 2.66 -0.21
Montreal 32 82 91 2.56 2.84 -0.28
Minnesota 30 79 88 2.63 2.93 -0.30
Tampa Bay 30 76 88 2.53 2.93 -0.40
Anaheim 30 86 99 2.87 3.30 -0.43
Columbus 31 95 109 3.06 3.52 -0.45
NY Islanders 31 80 98 2.58 3.16 -0.58
Toronto 31 88 111 2.84 3.58 -0.74
Florida 31 82 106 2.65 3.42 -0.77
Carolina 30 72 109 2.40 3.63 -1.23

This week we play the 3 best teams in terms of goal differential in the entire league. Wow. A win tonight against the Hawks would be a really big deal.

Ta,

by Tom Luongo on Dec 11, 2009 9:44 AM EST reply actions  

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