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Around SBN: Odds On Peyton Manning's Next Home Includes Three Teams

Crunching Numbers: Streaking Sabres Handle Red Hot Flyers

One week ago the naysayers were out after the Sabres dropped both games of a back-to-back, losing Friday to the Philadelphia Flyers and Saturday to the Boston Bruins. Those critics have been quiet this weekend as the Sabres beat a tough Calgary Flames team in a very entertaining physical hockey game on Friday night and they followed that up with an impressive road win in Philadelphia on Saturday.

The win on Saturday would be classified as a good road win, despite the third period meltdown that allowed the Flyers to get back in the game on two seperate occasions. It was a combination of timely goals, good penalty killing and of course great goaltending.

Ennis Makes Good in Debut

Tyler Ennis found out on Saturday afternoon that he would be playing in his first ever regular season NHL game. It didn't give him much time to thin about the game but I'm sure the nerves were unbelievable. Ennis handled the pressure and had a couple of scoring chances in the first period. He actally led the Sabres with two shots in the first period.

The second period is one that Ennis will not soon forget. He scored his first NHL goal on a spin around wrist shot that appeared to go under the arm of Ray Emery. The goal was eerily similar to the goal that Tim Kennedy scored on Martin Broduer to notch his first ever NHL goal.

In all it was an impressive debut for the 20 year-old Center from Edmonton, AB. Ennis played 14:13 and scored the Sabres only even strength goal. He led the team with four shots-on-goal and blocked two shots. It's likely the youngster will be returned to Portland when Stafford returns but if the Flyers game was any indication, the future is bright for Ennis and the Sabres.

 

Star-divide

Let's Go Streaking

On Friday we talked about how this would be a difficult weekend for the Sabres, especially with their history in back-to-back games. The Sabres won both games and now have a three game winning streak heading into next week.

The criticism of this team has been they haven't beat any good opponents. That changed this weekend when they handled the Calgary Flames on Friday and the Philadelphia Flyers on Saturday.

The Sabres started their own winning streak by ending the winning streaks of two good hockey teams. Calgary had their four game winning streak ended in Buffalo on Friday night and the Sabres squashed the Flyers five game winning streak on Saturday.

Game Stats

 

Game Stats
# Player Pos TOI +/- FO% Hits GV TK BS
4 Steve Montador D 18:02 1 - 1 2 0 6
9 Derek Roy C 21:04 -2 36% 0 0 3 0
10 Henrik Tallinder D 17:21 -1 - 0 2 0 1
13 Tim Kennedy C 12:34 1 14% 0 0 0 0
19 Tim Connolly C 15:54 0 0% 0 3 0 0
22 Adam Mair C 7:18 0 - 1 0 0 0
26 Thomas Vanek LW 14:50 -1 - 0 0 0 0
28 Paul Gaustad C 18:09 0 53% 0 0 1 1
29 Jason Pominville RW 20:29 -2 - 0 0 0 0
34 Chris Butler D 21:06 -1 - 0 0 0 1
36 Patrick Kaleta RW 12:44 1 - 6 0 1 0
37 Matt Ellis LW 7:15 0 - 0 0 0 0
41 Clarke MacArthur LW 15:50 -2 - 1 0 1 1
44 Andrej Sekera D 16:52 1 - 0 1 1 1
52 Craig Rivet D 18:40 0 - 0 1 0 2
55 Jochen Hecht LW 18:08 0 40% 0 0 0 1
57 Tyler Myers D 21:31 -1 - 1 1 1 0
63 Tyler Ennis C 14:13 1 - 0 0 0 2
TOI = Total Time on Ice GV = Giveaways
FO% = Faceoff percentage TK = Takeaways
Hits = Total Hits BS=Blocked Shots

 

I knew the Sabres did a pretty good job of blocking shots but I was not aware just how good they were. They blocked 16 shots with Steve Montador leading the way with six.

Montador has been a pleasant surprise for the Sabres this season. He was brought in to add toughness to the Sabres blue line but he has brought much more. Monty is consistently blocking shots and filling shooting lanes. The most surprising part of his game is his willingness to jump into the play and create offensive chances.

The other interesting statistic is the faceoff percentage. Buffalo has been a good faceoff team this season, with Paul Gaustad leading the way. Gaustad struggled through two periods on Saturday but he rebounded in the third and won some really big draws in the closing minutes.

Corsi Numbers

 

Even Strength Individual Stats Even Strength On-Ice Totals
# Player Pos EV TOI G A Shots S A/B S Miss SOGF SOGA SOG Diff Tot SF Tot SA Corsi
4 Steve Montador D 15:43 0 0 1 2 0 5 5 0 11 19 -8
9 Derek Roy C 13:12 0 0 1 0 0 5 8 -3 10 20 -10
10 Henrik Tallinder D 15:03 0 0 0 0 0 5 12 -7 8 23 -15
13 Tim Kennedy C 12:34 0 1 1 0 0 5 8 -3 6 15 -9
19 Tim Connolly C 8:38 0 0 1 1 0 2 1 1 4 11 -7
22 Adam Mair C 7:14 0 0 1 0 0 2 3 -1 6 6 0
26 Thomas Vanek LW 9:31 0 0 0 1 0 2 5 -3 5 15 -10
28 Paul Gaustad C 9:46 0 0 0 1 0 2 7 -5 6 12 -6
29 Jason Pominville RW 12:38 0 0 0 2 1 5 11 -6 10 22 -12
34 Chris Butler D 12:56 0 0 0 1 0 4 8 -4 6 17 -11
36 Patrick Kaleta RW 12:17 0 1 1 0 1 5 5 0 6 10 -4
37 Matt Ellis LW 7:15 0 0 1 0 0 2 3 -1 5 6 -1
41 Clarke MacArthur LW 9:59 0 0 1 0 0 4 8 -4 9 15 -6
44 Andrej Sekera D 15:43 0 0 2 0 0 5 4 1 12 16 -4
52 Craig Rivet D 12:15 0 0 1 0 0 4 7 -3 5 15 -10
55 Jochen Hecht LW 16:33 0 0 0 0 0 5 11 -6 6 25 -19
57 Tyler Myers D 15:43 0 0 1 1 1 5 12 -7 9 23 -14
63 Tyler Ennis C 9:10 1 0 2 0 0 3 2 1 6 10 -4
EV TOI = Even Strength time on ice SOGA = Team shots against while on ice
EV TOI = Even Strength time on ice SOG Diff = Difference shots on ice
S A/B = shots attempted and blocked Tot SF = Total shots including blocked/missed
S Miss = Shots missed the net Tot SA = Total Shots Ag. Including blocked/missed
SOGF = Team Shots while on ice Corsi = Difference in Total Shots

 

The Corsi number is a statistic that what created by Sabres goalie coach JIm Corsi. It is the difference in total shots for and the total shots against. It factors in all shots that were on net, attempts that were blocked and shots that missed the net. The idea is that it is a better reflection on a players two-way play because it shows puck possesion as opposed to only shots on goal.

This game is the perfect example of when the Corsi number will only tell part of the story. The Sabres won this game with good goaltending, blocked shots and timely goals. The Flyers were obviously the better team for most of the game and the Corsi numbers reflect that. Every Sabres player finished with a negative Corsi number with Jochen Hecht leading the way at minus-19.

The Corsi will be affected negatively when leading against a good offensive team. The Sabres were obviusly trying to protect their lead while the Flyers were pressing to score the tying goal. The Flyers have plenty offensive talent and know how to get the puck towards the net. I think the negative Corsi numbers actually show how good Buffalo really was last night.

Up Next

The Buffalo Sabres will try to extend their three game winning streak with a home game against the Florida Panthers. The Sabres beat the Panthers in Florida in the only meeting between the two teams this season.

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Why did the Sabres pull up Ennis instead of Gerbe? Is Gerbe injured or is Ennis actually the better player?

by tpsabres on Nov 15, 2009 4:41 PM EST reply actions  

I believe that Ennis is a better player… Gerbe will be good, but Ennis will be better. Just a more complete player. Both are tiny though.

Delightfully Ignoring The Truth since 1995.

by NeverendingOptimism on Nov 15, 2009 5:00 PM EST up reply actions  

Gerbe is injured

I believe he is out with a concussion. I’m not sure who will be the better player but I think Gerbe would have been the call up if he wasn’t injured.

D.O.
www.diebytheblade.com - An SB nation destination for Sabres fans everywhere

by David Oleksy on Nov 15, 2009 5:10 PM EST up reply actions  

Dave,

Thank you for calling out the naysayers. I am sick and tired of reading the comments the trolls put up. That’s what the WGR 550 comment section is for. This is a site for intelligent discussion and criticism with reasons and support for arguments and opinions. Thanks for the usual terrific Sabres coverage, it’s picked up over here really nicely. I think I saw you over at the Rumblings… I believe the Buffalo sports teams have an inverse relationship. The Bills will suck and the Sabres will go deep into the playoffs this year. Someday the balance will be acheived and Buffalo will break from the Earth and float into space…

N.O.

Delightfully Ignoring The Truth since 1995.

by NeverendingOptimism on Nov 15, 2009 5:07 PM EST reply actions  

I read Rumblings everyday

I don’t comment all that much because this takes more out of me than you can imagine. I am a Bills fan and a former season ticket holder.

D.O.
www.diebytheblade.com - An SB nation destination for Sabres fans everywhere

by David Oleksy on Nov 15, 2009 5:12 PM EST up reply actions  

I can only imagine...

Hopefully the Bills do something that can make us all cheer… even if it losing and rebuilding. There are some really incredible players on the Bills, but I think the coaches and schemes are flawed. I never want them to lose though… It’s not in my DNA.

Delightfully Ignoring The Truth since 1995.

by NeverendingOptimism on Nov 15, 2009 5:16 PM EST up reply actions  

I like how a certain nay-sayer has been nowhere to be found this weekend.

Tedrecommends, you still out there? :)

by Afino on Nov 15, 2009 5:21 PM EST up reply actions  

You’re not the only one looking for tedrecommends. I was looking for Ron A too…

by krytime on Nov 15, 2009 7:48 PM EST up reply actions  

I didn’t want to name names at first… but there’s a couple more as well.

The WGR550 boards have gotten insane in the past couple weeks. People are just bashing the city of Buffalo and the WNY region nonstop. It’s pathetic, atrocious and sad.

My Spanish girlfriend and I, for two, cannot wait to come home in a week. She loves Buffalo.

Delightfully Ignoring The Truth since 1995.

by NeverendingOptimism on Nov 17, 2009 9:10 AM EST up reply actions  

I hope that sucess has not gone to their heads, and that the Sabres will prepare for and take seriously the Florida Panthers. It is too easy to think that because of the poor showing to date by the Panthers that they are patsys. I am certain that Lindy will warn his charges that they need to play just as hard against the teams below them in the standings as those who are above them, but it is a mind set that is difficult to avoid when playing an obviously inferior team.

by Geolover on Nov 15, 2009 5:53 PM EST reply actions  

I want to see us continue the physical play that helped us beat the Flames and Flyers. I couldn’t stand the flip flop style we played the last two years of playing down and up to bad and good teams, respectively. I think that “the system” is code for “playing our way.”

Delightfully Ignoring The Truth since 1995.

by NeverendingOptimism on Nov 17, 2009 9:12 AM EST up reply actions  

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