Crunching Numbers: Sabres With Improbable Victory in Tampa

I promised a full recap of the game but instead you get a stats post.  By now you have read all you want to read about the game and quite frankly, I still have not watched the game in it's entirety.  I can say with certainty that we are all happy they didn't quit and managed to come away with two points.  Last season they missed the playoffs by two points, I think they will take points anyway they can get them.

I know the opinion of many is that Nathan Paetsch played a poor game but statistically speaking, he was one of the better players.  He did end up as a minus-1 but his Corsi rating was a 10.  He also had five shots on goal which led the team.  It looks like he was, at the very least, trying to make something happen.  Based on the comments in the game thread (thanks Afino for keeping it going), this was mostly an ugly game for the Sabres and they were lucky to come away with two points.  I'll reserve the right to change my mind if warranted, but I'm going to give Paestch credit for trying to spark the team.

Game Stats
# Player Pos TOI +/- FO% Hits GV TK BS
4 Steve Montador D 15:15 -1 - 2 1 0 1
9 Derek Roy C 21:07 0 47% 1 0 1 1
10 Henrik Tallinder D 20:57 1 - 1 0 0 1
13 Tim Kennedy C 12:32 1 29% 1 0 1 0
19 Tim Connolly C 18:15 -1 60% 0 0 0 0
21 Drew Stafford RW 17:44 0 1 1 0 0
25 Mike Grier RW 15:17 2 2 1 0 0
26 Thomas Vanek LW 18:06 0 0 0 0 0
28 Paul Gaustad C 15:48 0 75% 0 0 0 0
29 Jason Pominville RW 20:49 -1 50% 0 1 1 0
34 Chris Butler D 29:18 0 - 1 1 1 1
36 Patrick Kaleta RW 8:52 0 1 0 0 0
37 Matt Ellis LW 7:32 0 2 0 0 0
38 Nathan Paetsch D 13:09 -1 1 0 0 0
41 Clarke MacArthur LW 15:34 -1 0% 2 0 0 1
52 Craig Rivet D 26:11 0 - 1 0 1 0
55 Jochen Hecht LW 16:49 1 43% 1 1 0 1
57 Tyler Myers D 21:42 1 - 0 1 0 2
TOI = Total Time on Ice GV = Giveaways
FO% = Faceoff percentage TK = Takeaways
Hits = Total Hits BS=Blocked Shots

 

Even Strength Individual Stats Even Strength On-Ice Totals
# Player Pos EV TOI G A Shots S A/B S Miss SOGF SOGA SOG Diff Tot SF Tot SA Corsi
4 Steve Montador D 14:02 0 0 0 1 0 11 4 7 18 11 7
9 Derek Roy C 17:37 0 1 2 0 0 10 7 3 13 15 -2
10 Henrik Tallinder D 18:36 0 0 0 0 0 5 7 -2 7 15 -8
13 Tim Kennedy C 12:20 0 1 1 0 0 4 1 3 7 4 3
19 Tim Connolly C 14:05 0 0 3 0 1 8 9 -1 14 17 -3
21 Drew Stafford RW 14:56 1 0 4 3 1 11 7 4 17 12 5
25 Mike Grier RW 13:53 1 0 2 0 0 7 2 5 11 6 5
26 Thomas Vanek LW 15:58 0 0 3 0 0 7 2 5 11 6 5
28 Paul Gaustad C 10:33 0 0 1 2 1 4 1 3 13 3 10
29 Jason Pominville RW 15:21 0 0 0 0 0 8 8 0 13 16 -3
34 Chris Butler D 23:40 0 0 1 1 2 9 10 -1 19 17 2
36 Patrick Kaleta RW 8:43 0 0 1 0 1 4 2 2 9 4 5
37 Matt Ellis LW 7:32 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 1 8 3 5
38 Nathan Paetsch D 12:48 0 0 5 1 0 12 3 9 19 9 10
41 Clarke MacArthur LW 13:44 0 0 2 0 0 8 9 -1 11 17 -6
52 Craig Rivet D 21:53 0 1 0 0 0 10 8 2 16 15 1
55 Jochen Hecht LW 14:24 0 0 1 1 0 5 3 2 9 6 3
57 Tyler Myers D 18:59 0 0 1 2 0 6 8 -2 8 15 -7
EV TOI = Even Strength time on ice SOGA = Team shots against while on ice
EV TOI = Even Strength time on ice SOG Diff = Difference shots on ice
S A/B = shots attempted and blocked Tot SF = Total shots including blocked/missed
S Miss = Shots missed the net Tot SA = Total Shots Ag. Including blocked/missed
SOGF = Team Shots while on ice Corsi = Difference in Total Shots

 

The Corsi number is a statistic that what created by Sabres goalie coach JIm Corsi. It is the difference in total shots for and the total shots against. It factors in all shots that were on net, attempts that were blocked and shots that missed the net. The idea is that it is a better reflection on a players two-way play because it shows puck possesion as opposed to only shots on goal.

It was nice to see four Sabres defensemen come away with a positive Corsi Rating.  It was especially impressive that Butler did it with over 23 minutes of even strength ice time.  If nothing else it speaks volumes for the future of the Sabres defense with guys like Myers and Butler being counted on in various situations.

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