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Around SBN: Devils Beat Rangers, Head To Stanley Cup Finals

Sabres Start Strong, Have 75 Games Left

It's easy to get excited about how the Buffalo Sabres have played this season and as Sabres fans we have every right to be excited.  The Sabres are off to a 5-1-1 start and their only loss came with backup Patrick Lalime between the pipes.  They are widely considered to be one of the surprise teams in the NHL at this point.

Now that I got that out of the way, I have to remind everyone that it is October.  Since the lockout the Sabres have notoriously been a good team at the start of the season.  Their 5-1-1 record marks the fourth time in the last five seasons they have won five or more games in their first seven.  The one exception was the 2006-2007 season when they lost Chris Drury and Daniel Briere after losing in the Eastern Conference Finals two seasons in a row.

In the last four seasons the Sabres have made the playoffs twice and missed the playoffs twice.  If we thow out the season when they started 3-4-0 and played on their heels all season, we still have three seasons of data to comb through.  I don't think anyone would compare this years team to the high-powered offensive teams that went to the Eastern Conference Finals which means we have last season to look at.

It might be hard to believe but last season the Sabres started out better than this years team.  The Sabres began the season 6-0-1 and scored 25 goals while allowing only 12.  This season the Sabres have scored 23 goals and have allowed their opponents to score 14 goals.

Does this mean the Sabres should expect to start losing like the team last year did?  I don't think that is necessarily true.  Although there are many similarites between this year and last year, there are plenty of differences as well.

Star-divide

The 2009-2010 version of the Buffalo Sabres is a much deeper team.  They are getting contributions from everyone on the ice and they are good at even strength. 

  Even PP SH
2009-2010 17 6 0
2008-2009 13 9 2

 

It's easier for a team to maintain their 5-on-5 play than it is to maintain a hot power play all season.  Last season the Sabres scored 13 goals at even strength and 11 goals on special teams (note: the 2 shorthanded goals last season were scored by Thomas Vanek).  This season te Sabres have been impressive at even strength scoring 17 of their 23 goals while the teams are even.

The scoring this season is more spread out as well.  Four players accounted for 18 of the teams 25 goals last season and this season the team has eight players that have scored at least two goals.  They are getting contributions from their bottom six as well this season.

  Top 6 Bottom 6 Defense
2009-2010 8 7 2
2008-2009 11 2 0

 

It's still too early to start thinking about the playoffs in October but this team is built better to play well for the long haul.  When this team was a playoff team they relied heavily on their third and fourth lines to contribute and that was something they didn't do the past two seasons.  If players like MIke Grier and Jochen Hecht continue to play well, this team could go a long way.

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Excellent Article

When you look at the 2 short handed goals – obviously those cannot be counted on in any consistency.

Depth is what can make a good playoff run (to the playoffs and in the playoffs) and it seems like this team has that.

However, as you point out – very, very early.

I am so clever that sometimes I don’t understand a single word of what I am saying
Trent Edwards - Backup QB until furthur notice. Care to prove me wrong Trent?

by J2 on Oct 23, 2009 10:37 AM EDT reply actions  

Nice write up

I think the difference between this year’s teams and previous teams is exactly the things that you pointed out. Those things (bottom 6 scoring, coinciding clearly with even strenght scoring) are what makes this version of the Sabres better. However, I think the Sabres are playing worse the last two weeks then they started. I know, you’re thinking, they scored 19 goals in 4 games. I realize this is a nice output offensively. As pointed out in the statistics by DO, this sort of thing is not something that the Sabres of past were not capable of. In fact, last season they were 10th in goals scored and the year before 3rd. Obviously scoring goals has never been this team’s problem. It’s the stopping goals that gets you into the playoffs. Which is why I am alarmed at the last few outtings by the Sabres. I know it was a blowout to NYI and Florida, but those late, lazy goals are a problem with this team. They haven’t finished well the last few games and it’s beginning to worry me.

"Potential just means you haven’t done sh## yet"

by willgarr15 on Oct 23, 2009 11:53 AM EDT reply actions  

It has seemed the last couple of seasons that when we get up on a team, we start to coast and let the bad guys back in it. Hopefully that can be attributed to ‘youth’. It has happened enough to these guys that they have to finally learn from it. Keeping this young group and letting them get better together could turn in to a good move long term. Once again, the Sabes are pulling me in. I am very close to ordering the NHL Center Ice package. Can’t hold out much longer. Getting weaker……….. Go Sabes!

by KTyczka on Oct 23, 2009 12:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree

They just coast when they get a big lead. I want to see them finish a game and get a 5-0 shutout. It seems if we score 5 goals, we don’t care if the other team nets a couple. I mean luckily Florida couldn’t barry many of their chances because we let them get 40+ shots on Miller

"Potential just means you haven’t done sh## yet"

by willgarr15 on Oct 23, 2009 1:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

Do it!

it’s not getting any cheaper. The sooner you order, the more you get for your money.

D.O.
www.diebytheblade.com - An SB nation destination for Sabres fans everywhere

by David Oleksy on Oct 23, 2009 3:11 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

The Difference

Is the forecheck and the passing.

Last season this team was a one and done team in the oppositions zone, this season they are pesky, bigger, tougher, and make it very very tough on the opponent to clear the zone even without puck possession. Teams that play the Sabres so far spend a great deal of the game working the puck out instead of working on the rush.

The Sabres also pass the puck better this season because they are more reliant on size versus pure speed. The passes from player to player are shorter and more frequent. Getting rid of Max and adding more responsible, tougher players has resulted in a pass first attitude which has led to longer possessions.

The article attempts to show there is little difference in the two teams and we should guard our optimism, but watching the two teams live yields a far different perspective. This years version does not require super offensive skill (pp goals, tons of shots ect) on a nightly basis, this years version is dominating teams who wont pay the same price to win and with a continued commitment to the forecheck and passing, this team can win on grit and defense alone. This is a playoff team, and one prepared for a deep run. Warpath people, warpath.

by TimR on Oct 23, 2009 3:43 PM EDT reply actions  

Hey, I’ve only commented a few times before but this article made it necessary.
Great article, dude.
This should make its way to Puck Daddy.
Worrying about this stuff has been making me lose sleep, lol.

by Traver on Oct 23, 2009 7:59 PM EDT reply actions  

So far so good...

The book on the Sabres coming into the year was good forwards and goaltending, but the team would not go far due to questionable defenseman play. So far, we’ve gotten better than expected play from our blueliners, and spectacular play from our starting goalie, which I think has carried us to the surprising start. Of course, as you said, it’s still very early – lets see how things look at the end of November. Some tough games coming up.

Speaking of strong starts – the Pens were down 2-0 to the Panthers, and came back and won in a shootout. They look scary.

David, one more thing – I noticed your “Introduce yourself to DBTB” post is closed to commenting. Is it supposed to be?

by Frank Reich Revolution on Oct 23, 2009 10:38 PM EDT reply actions  

Thanks for the heads up

I will have to do another post because I think they close after a certain point.

D.O.
www.diebytheblade.com - An SB nation destination for Sabres fans everywhere

by David Oleksy on Oct 24, 2009 9:09 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

The last couple of seasons the Sabres possessed a talented roster. Problem was, they were lacking enough size, grit and veteran leadership. The additions of Grier and Montador partly addressed this. Throw in a more seasoned Kaleta and Ellis helps also. The one player that has really made an impact is Tyler Myers. He is talented, confident and of course, big. Rivet, Montador and Myers give the Sabres a tough and intimidating defense. The biggest reason I believe the Sabres will make the playoffs this year is because they are playing in a different system. A system that thrives on short passing, heavy forechecking and more shooting. The linchpin to this house of cards if of course, Ryan Miller.

by Bills Blues on Oct 23, 2009 10:40 PM EDT reply actions  

The reason the Sabres are winning is because they’ve adapted to the style of play that now wins in the post-lockout NHL … toughness along the boards and in the corners,dumping and chasing and heavy forechecking. New additions like Grier and Montador fit that style very well and they’ve made a big difference so far. The whole team appears to have bought into the system and they’re playing tough, smart and disciplined. It’s a long season and they’ll have their streaks of lazy play and soft defense like any other team will but they certainly look a lot better than last year. No more razzle dazzle tic tac toe passing plays and pretty goals … those days are over,but this style will win games. We’ll see if they can keep it up.

by The Central Scrutinizer on Oct 24, 2009 12:47 AM EDT reply actions  

Agreed

As much as it drove me crazy for the team to sound like robots after losses about not playing the “system” it appears that was right. And, more importantly it seems they are listening. The key will be, if anyone is consistently is not listening, ship them out of town to send a message.

by bluecollarbuffalo on Oct 24, 2009 7:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

Grier is also a positive influence in the locker room, which is big for a young team like the Sabres

Also, with youth often comes immaturity…but also a ton of upside. Last year, I think we saw more of the former; when the Sabres had their backs up against the wall, nobody really stepped up and led the team. But when the upside starts to show up with any bit of consistency, this team can be scary.

Additionally, not nearly enough can be said about the difference the aggressive, yet disciplined, forecheck has made.

by cwel87 on Oct 24, 2009 12:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

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